Methodology

Every signal goes through a fixed framework before publication. The goal is consistency, not perfection — a public record that can be evaluated over time.

Universe

We track BTC, ETH, top-10 alts by liquidity, and 1–2 narrative-rotation plays from the dominant theme of the week (AI, DePIN, RWA, etc.). Excluded: coins with under $50M 24h volume, coins flagged for delisting on a top-5 exchange, sub-$200M memes.

Inputs

Price + structure on the target timeframe (4H or 1D primarily).
Market context: BTC dominance, total-3 alt cap, funding rates, open interest.
News and catalysts within the signal's holding period.
On-chain flows for majors and top alts.
Sentiment as a contrarian filter only.

Hard gates

A candidate is rejected if any gate fails:

Risk/Reward to T1 below 1.5
Stop distance above the timeframe cap (5% on 4H, 8% on 1D, 15% on 1W)
Confidence outside the 40–85 band
Same coin, same direction within the prior 48h
More than 7 signals in a single day

Confidence anchors

40–50 — counter-trend or aggressive, tight stop
55–65 — standard setup, confirmation pending
65–75 — trend-aligned, multiple confluences
75–85 — high-conviction, clear structure, catalyst on side

What we never publish

Leverage recommendations
Specific position sizes in fiat
Insider claims
Predictions beyond the stated timeframe